Stage 11 takes the riders on an almost entirely ‘flat as a pancake’ journey from Modena to Asolo, but the sprinters have far from circled this as a serious target thanks to the inclusion of some harsh concluding ascents. The 227km day is certain to play into the hands of the breakaway for the most part, rolling through the idyllic countryside before all hell breaks loose with around 20km, at which point it looks to be anyone’s for the taking.
Giacomo Nizzolo appears to be the most likely of the typically styled sprinters to survive the late antics in a strong enough condition to contest any possible reduced sprint. His climbing abilities have improved greatly as of late, making him a difficult man to disregard entirely, though life will be tougher now teammate Fabian Cancellara has gone home.
Kristian Sbaragli could be another of the quick men to make it through the final selection process and win from a reduced bunch kick. The support from his teammates at Dimension Data could really boost his chances of performing well here and is thus marked out as a contender for Stage 11.
Sonny Colbrelli has enjoyed an encouraging season thus far and appears to be in midst of some of his finest form in recent years. The biggest headache he will have on Stage 11 is deciding how best to go about winning the day; as joining the breakaway, making a late move and waiting for a sprint are all possibilities from which he can win Asolo.
Alejandro Valverde must be considered on a stage which is deceptively tough and has every chance of coming back together right before the finish. If so, Valverde has a fantastic sprinting ability and could grab some time on his rivals as a result of winning here.
Nikias Arndt is one of the fastest riders at the conclusion of a stage such as this, but will need to see the ranks thinned out quite heavily in order to really have a chance of winning.
Enrico Battaglin knows this area of Italy well and seems to be in good form having already finished fifth on Stage 7. The terrain here should be more beneficial and to his liking, providing him with every chance of surprising the bigger names.
A wide array of riders are bound to feature in an attempt to join the day’s break or instigate a last minute attack, so keep a close eye upon the likes of Tim Wellens, Giovanni Visconti, Diego Ulisi, Luka Mezgec and Simon Clarke.
Reduced Sprint – 1st Enrico Battaglin 2nd Sonny Colbrelli 3rd Kristian Sbaragli
Breakaway – 1st Giovanni Visconti 2nd Tim Wellens 3rd Simon Clarke